The formula gets rearranged depending on which variable you need. Here are the patterns you’ll run into in the real world — find the one that matches your problem and follow the worked steps.
01 · PATTERN
Conversions halved
conv = 60 (from 120)
Keep every other input at its default and halve the conversions. See how conversion rate responds.
- 01New Conversions: 60
- 02Baseline Conversion rate: 2.4
- 03New Conversion rate: 1.2
- 04Conversion rate decreases by 50% → use this sensitivity to plan for real-world variation.
02 · PATTERN
Conversions doubled
conv = 240 (from 120)
Keep every other input at its default and double the conversions. See how conversion rate responds.
- 01New Conversions: 240
- 02Baseline Conversion rate: 2.4
- 03New Conversion rate: 4.8
- 04Conversion rate increases by 100% → use this sensitivity to plan for real-world variation.
03 · PATTERN
Visits halved
visits = 2500 (from 5000)
Keep every other input at its default and halve the visits. See how conversion rate responds.
- 01New Visits: 2500
- 02Baseline Conversion rate: 2.4
- 03New Conversion rate: 4.8
- 04Conversion rate increases by 100% → use this sensitivity to plan for real-world variation.
04 · PATTERN
Visits doubled
visits = 10000 (from 5000)
Keep every other input at its default and double the visits. See how conversion rate responds.
- 01New Visits: 10000
- 02Baseline Conversion rate: 2.4
- 03New Conversion rate: 1.2
- 04Conversion rate decreases by 50% → use this sensitivity to plan for real-world variation.